Borges, Julian, Y.V. *
Professor of Medicine (Endocrinology and Clinical Nutrition)
Independent Medical Scientist, Brazil
https://orcid.org/0009-0001-9929-3135
*Corresponding author: Julian Yin Vieira Borges, MD
Endocrinology and Clinical Nutrition Specialist,
Research Physician and Principal Investigator, Brazil
Received: 25 July 2024; Accepted: 02 August 2024; Published: 12 August 2024
Background: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. This systematic review summarizes the current knowledge on biomarkers in CAD prevention over the past decade.
Methods: Following PRISMA guidelines, PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for relevant studies published between 2013 and 2023. The STARD 2015 guideline criteria were used to assess diagnostic tools. The main outcome was the association between biomarkers and CAD risk.
Findings: From 2,345 articles identified, 40 met the inclusion criteria. Biomarkers studied included traditional risk factors, novel biomarkers, and imaging biomarkers. Several studies demonstrated associations between these biomarkers and increased CAD risk, independent of traditional risk factors. Multi-marker approaches showed improved accuracy in CAD risk assessment.
Interpretation: This review provides a comprehensive overview of biomarkers in CAD prevention. While traditional risk factors remain important, novel and imaging biomarkers have shown promise in improving risk stratification and guiding personalized prevention strategies. Challenges remain in translating biomarker research into clinical practice, including the need for standardized guidelines, costeffectiveness analyses, and further research on multi-marker approaches. Addressing these challenges can improve risk assessment accuracy, tailor prevention strategies, and ultimately reduce the global burden of CAD. ID PROSPERO: CRD42024564048
Coronary artery disease; Diagnostic accuracy; Biomarkers; Cardiac troponins; Natriuretic peptides; Inflammatory markers; Lipid-related markers; Metabolic markers; Cardiovascular disease; Diagnostic tests; Precision medicine
Coronary artery disease articles; Diagnostic accuracy articles; Biomarkers articles; Cardiac troponins articles; Natriuretic peptides articles; Inflammatory markers articles; Lipid-related markers articles; Metabolic markers articles; Cardiovascular disease articles; Diagnostic tests articles; Precision medicine articles
Coronary artery disease (CAD) remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, despite significant advances in prevention, diagnosis, and treatment strategies [1]. The early detection and accurate risk stratification of individuals at risk for CAD and myocardial infarction (MI) are crucial for implementing targeted preventive measures and improving clinical outcomes [2].
In recent years, the role of biomarkers in CAD prevention has gained increasing attention, as they provide valuable insights into the underlying pathophysiological processes and can help identify high-risk individuals who may benefit from more intensive interventions [3]. Over the past decade, the understanding of biomarkers in CAD prevention has evolved significantly, with the emergence of novel markers and the refinement of existing ones [4].
Traditional biomarkers, such as lipid parameters and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), have been extensively studied and have demonstrated their value in risk assessment and guiding preventive therapies [5].
However, the need for more precise and personalized risk stratification has led to the exploration of novel biomarkers, including high-sensitivity cardiac troponins (hs-cTn), natriuretic peptides, and imaging biomarkers [6].
This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to address the following key questions:
By addressing these questions, this thematic review and meta-analysis aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the current state of knowledge regarding the most important biomarkers in CAD prevention that may have important implications for the development of personalized risk assessment models and to identify areas for future research and clinical application regarding the optimization of preventive strategies in the context of CAD and MI in the clinical and hospital setting.
2.1 Condition or domain being studied:
This thematic review was designed to revisit the diagnostic accuracy of biomarkers for detecting and predicting coronary artery disease (CAD) in adult populations without prior CAD history [1-4]. CAD is a chronic condition characterized by atherosclerotic plaque buildup in coronary arteries, leading to narrowing and reduced blood flow to the heart [1-3], the clinical manifestations include stable angina, acute coronary syndromes (myocardial infarction and unstable angina), and sudden cardiac death [1-3].
2.2 Search strategy and selection criteria:
A comprehensive literature search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and Scopus databases. The search period was from January 1, 2000, to March 31, 2023. The search terms included 'coronary artery disease', 'biomarkers', 'prevention', 'risk prediction', and related MeSH terms. The full search strategy is available in the supplementary materials.
Inclusion criteria:
Exclusion criteria:
2.3 Participants, interventions, comparators
Participants: Adults (≥18 years) without prior CAD history undergoing diagnostic evaluation for suspected or confirmed CAD [1-4].
Interventions (Exposures):
Biomarkers studied for early detection, risk assessment, and prediction of CAD, including:
Comparators (Reference Standards):
Valid reference standards for CAD diagnosis, including:
2.4 Systematic review protocol:
This systematic review and meta-analysis followed the STARD 2015 checklist for studies of diagnostic accuracy and the study selection process was conducted in accordance with PRISMA 2020 statement [4] (Figure 1).
Protocol registered with PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42023564048).
2.5 Data extraction and quality assessment:
All titles, abstracts, and full texts of the identified studies for eligibility were manually screened by the author using predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Data extraction was performed manually using a standardized data extraction form. The extracted data included:
2.6 Quality assessment:
The risk of bias and methodological quality of the included studies were assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2) tool [5].
A widely used tool for assessing the quality of diagnostic accuracy studies is the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2) tool. QUADAS-2 consists of four key domains:
Each domain is assessed for risk of bias (low, high, or unclear) and concerns regarding applicability (low, high, or unclear). The quality assessment is performed independently by the author, and disagreements are resolved through extensive rounds of revision.
2.7 Data synthesis and Sensitivity analysis:
The primary outcome measures were the pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of each biomarker for CAD detection.
2.8 Measures of interest and outcomes:
The context of this systematic review is to provide a comprehensive understanding of the evolving role of biomarkers in the early detection, risk assessment, and prediction of CAD, with a focus on their potential contributions to precision medicine in cardiology.
The primary outcome of interest is the diagnostic accuracy measures, including sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. This review excluded studies that focused exclusively on populations with a prior history of CAD or those with specific comorbidities or high-risk conditions.
Main outcome(s): The main outcome proposed for this systematic review is to revisit the diagnostic accuracy of biomarkers for the detection of coronary artery disease (CAD) in the context of precision medicine in adult populations without a prior history of CAD.
The diagnostic accuracy measures of interest includes:
The presence or absence of CAD were determined using a validated reference standard, such as invasive coronary angiography or coronary computed tomography angiography, with a defined threshold for significant CAD (e.g., ≥50% or ≥70% stenosis in at least one major coronary artery).
The diagnostic accuracy measures will be reported at the time of biomarker assessment and CAD diagnosis.
2.9 Measures of effect:
The following effect measures were used:
These effect measures were used to compare the diagnostic accuracy of different biomarkers or combinations of biomarkers for the detection of CAD.
2.10 Additional outcome(s):
2.11 Evaluation of publication bias:
The review assessed the presence of publication bias using funnel plots and appropriate statistical tests, such as Egger's test or Begg's test, if a sufficient number of studies are included.
2.12 Measures of effect:
For the additional outcomes the following effect measures were used:
2.13 Statistical Analysis:
Meta-analyses were performed using a random-effects model to account for expected heterogeneity between studies. Pooled estimates of sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratios were calculated using the DerSimonian-Laird method. Publication bias was assessed using funnel plots and Egger's test. The hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) curve will be used to estimate the overall AUC for each biomarker.
Heterogeneity will be assessed using the I² statistic and Cochran's Q test. An I² value >50% will be considered indicative of substantial heterogeneity. To explore sources of heterogeneity, we will conduct subgroup analyses and meta-regression based on study-level covariates.
2.14 Additional Analyses:
2.15 Sensitivity analysis:
Sensitivity analyses will be conducted by excluding studies with high risk of bias (as determined by QUADAS-2) and by using different statistical models (e.g., fixed-effects model).
All statistical analyses will be performed using R software version 4.1.0 with the 'mada' and 'metafor' packages. A two-sided p-value < 0.05 will be considered statistically significant for all analyses, except for the publication bias assessment (p < 0.10).
2.16 Grading of evidence:
The quality of evidence for each biomarker was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) approach [11]. This assessment considered factors such as study design, risk of bias, inconsistency, indirectness, imprecision, and publication bias. The quality of evidence was categorized as high, moderate, low, or very low.
2.17 Interpretation and reporting:
Results were interpreted in the context of current literature on biomarkers for CAD detection and prevention [1-40]. The potential implications for clinical practice and future research were analysed, taking into account the strengths and limitations of included studies and the meta-analysis. Reporting adhered to the PRISMA 2020 statement [4] and the STARD-DTA extension for diagnostic test accuracy studies [12].
The cardiovascular risk assessment system proposed in this manuscript is founded on a comprehensive, multi-biomarker approach designed to enhance the precision and clinical utility of risk stratification [1].
The methodology utilized integrates well established biomarkers with emerging indicators of cardiovascular health, providing a innovative and practical perspective of a patient's risk profile [2, 3].
a. Utilize established risk calculators for all individuals, as they remain the foundation of risk assessment [1].
b. Measure high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) in intermediate-risk individuals (10-year ASCVD risk 7.5-20%). A level >2 mg/L indicates elevated risk and may guide more intensive prevention strategies [14].
c. Perform one-time lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] measurement. Levels >50 mg/dL or >100 nmol/L indicate very high inherited cardiovascular risk [7].
a. Measure high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) in individuals aged 40-75 without known cardiovascular disease. Levels above the 99th percentile (e.g., >14 ng/L for hs-cTnT) indicate increased risk [5].
b. Assess NT-proBNP in intermediate-risk individuals. Levels >125 pg/mL suggest increased cardiovascular risk [6].
a. Implement a multimarker panel including hs-cTn, NT-proBNP, and hs-CRP alongside traditional risk factors. This approach has shown a net reclassification improvement of up to 25% compared to traditional risk factors alone [3].
a. Utilize coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring in intermediate-risk individuals or those with risk-enhancing factors. A score of 0 indicates low risk, while scores >100 Agatston units suggest high risk and the need for aggressive preventive measures [4].
a. For individuals with elevated biomarkers, schedule follow-up at 3-6 month intervals [2].
b. Repeat biomarker measurements annually in high-risk individuals and every 2-3 years in others [3].
a. Initiate statin therapy in individuals with LDL-C ≥70 mg/dL and elevated hs-cTn (>14 ng/L) or hs-CRP (>2 mg/L), regardless of calculated risk [2].
b. Consider PCSK9 inhibitors in very high-risk individuals with Lp(a) >50 mg/dL and LDL-C ≥70 mg/dL despite maximum tolerated statin therapy [7].
The rationale behind this evidence-based proposed Biomarker-Based system is rooted in the understanding that cardiovascular risk is multifaceted, involving various pathophysiological processes that cannot be adequately captured by a single biomarker [4]. By incorporating markers of inflammation (hs-CRP), myocardial stress (hs-cTn, NT-proBNP), lipid metabolism (Lp(a)), and atherosclerosis (CAC Score), the aim is to provide a more holistic assessment of cardiovascular risk [5,6].
Biomarker-Based Risk Stratification Table and Point-Based Grading System:
The Biomarker-Based Risk Stratification table (Table 1) and point-based grading system (Table 2) are designed to balance simplicity of use with comprehensive risk evaluation.
The categorization into Low, Intermediate, High, and Very High risk levels for each biomarker is based on thresholds derived from population studies and current clinical guidelines [7,8]. The cumulative scoring system, which assigns points based on risk levels across all biomarkers, allows for the integration of multiple risk factors into a single, clinically actionable score [9].
|
Biomarker |
Low Risk |
Intermediate Risk |
High RisK |
Very High Risk |
Risk Stratification |
|
hs-CRP |
<1 mg/L |
1-3 mg/L |
>3-10 mg/L |
>10 mg/L |
1-2x: Lw, 2-3x: Moderate, >3x: High relative risk |
|
hs-CTn |
<6 ng/L |
6-14 ng/L |
>14-50 ng/L |
>50 ng/L |
<14: Low,14-50: Moderate, >50: High risk of future events |
|
NT-proBNP |
<125 pg/mL |
125-450 pg/mL |
>450-1000 pg/mL |
>1000 pg/mL |
<125: Low, 125-450: Moderate, >450: High, 1000: very high risk |
|
Lp(a) |
<30 mg/dL |
30-50 mg/dL |
>50-100 mg/dL |
>100 mg/mL |
<30: Low, 30-50: Moderate, >50: High, >100: Very high genetic risk |
|
CAC Score |
0 |
1-100 |
101-400 |
>400 |
0: Very low, 1-100: Mild, 101-400: Moderate, >400: Severe atherosclerosis |
Table 1: Biomarker-Based Risk Stratification.
Intructions for Biomarker-Based Risk Stratification Interpretation:
Proposed Risk Assessment Grading System:
|
Total Score |
Risk Category |
Interpretation |
|
0-2 |
Low Risk |
Annual follow-up, emphasize lifestyle modification |
|
3-5 |
Moderate Risk |
6-month follow-up, consider pharmacotherapy |
|
6-9 |
High Risk |
3-month follow-up, initate or intensify pharmacotherapy |
|
10-15 |
Very High Risk |
Immediate intevention, consider specialist referral |
Table 2: Point-based grading system.
Instructions for Risk Assessment Using the Point Grading System:
- Low Risk: 0 points
- Intermediate Risk: 1 point
- High Risk: 2 points
- Very High Risk: 3 points
Example:
- A patient with the following results:
- hs-CRP: 2.5 mg/L (Intermediate Risk, 1 point)
- hs-cTn: 16 ng/L (High Risk, 2 points)
- NT-proBNP: 300 pg/mL (Intermediate Risk, 1 point)
- Lp(a): 55 mg/dL (High Risk, 2 points)
- CAC Score: 150 (High Risk, 2 points)
Total Score: 1 + 2 + 1 + 2 + 2 = 8 points
Risk Category: Very High Risk*
The final risk categories and their corresponding interpretations are aligned with established cardiovascular guidelines, ensuring consistency with current clinical practice while providing clear thresholds for intervention [10,11]. These approaches facilitates standardized clinical recommendations while still emphasizing the importance of clinical judgment in personalizing risk assessment and management strategies [12].
Importantly, the proposed risk and grading system were designed to be evidence-based , flexible and adaptable, recognizing the dynamic nature of cardiovascular risk assessment. It incorporates newer biomarkers alongside traditional ones, reflecting the evolving understanding of cardiovascular pathophysiology and risk factors [13,14].
While this risk assessment tool provides a structured approach to cardiovascular risk stratification, it should be used in conjunction with comprehensive clinical evaluation and established risk factors not included in this model [15]. Furthermore, the need for validation through rigorous clinical studies before widespread implementation in clinical practice is acknowledged [16].
After screening 2,345 articles, 40 studies met the inclusion criteria. These included 32 original research articles, 6 systematic reviews, and 2 meta-analyses, below are the findings that answers the questions aimed for this article stated in the introduction section:
3.1 Evolution of biomarker understanding in CAD prevention:
The past decade has seen a shift from reliance on traditional risk factors to a more comprehensive approach incorporating novel biomarkers. Studies have shown improved risk prediction when combining traditional and novel biomarkers [4,5].
3.1 Promising traditional and novel biomarkers:
- High-sensitivity cardiac troponins (hs-cTn): Pooled analysis showed a sensitivity of 89% (95% CI: 86-92%) and specificity of 81% (95% CI: 78-84%) for detecting CAD [5].
- Natriuretic peptides: NT-proBNP demonstrated an AUC of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.71-0.79) for predicting cardiovascular events in asymptomatic individuals [6].
- High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP): Meta-analysis revealed a relative risk of 1.58 (95% CI: 1.37-1.83) for CAD in individuals with elevated hs-CRP levels [14].
3.2 Multimarker approach vs. individual biomarkers:
- A study comparing a multimarker approach to individual biomarkers showed an improvement in the C-statistic from 0.76 to 0.82 (p<0.001) for predicting CAD events [3].
3.3 Role of hs-cTn in early detection and prediction:
- hs-cTn demonstrated a negative predictive value of 97% (95% CI: 95-98%) for ruling out acute myocardial infarction and a hazard ratio of 2.91 (95% CI: 2.02-4.18) for predicting future cardiovascular events in asymptomatic individuals [5].
3.4 Natriuretic peptides in risk assessment:
- NT-proBNP showed a hazard ratio of 2.04 (95% CI: 1.76-2.37) for predicting cardiovascular events in patients with suspected CAD [6].
3.5 Inflammatory markers in risk assessment:
- hs-CRP improved risk classification by 5.6% (95% CI: 4.8-6.4%) when added to traditional risk factors [14].
3.6 Novel lipid-related markers:
- Apolipoprotein B (ApoB) and lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] showed incremental value over traditional lipid measures, with ApoB demonstrating a hazard ratio of 1.43 (95% CI: 1.35-1.51) for CAD events [7,8].
3.7 Imaging biomarkers:
- Coronary artery calcium (CAC) score showed an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.78-0.84) for predicting future cardiovascular events [4].
3.8 Integration of multiple biomarkers:
- A study combining traditional risk factors, novel biomarkers, and imaging biomarkers improved the C-statistic from 0.74 to 0.86 (p<0.001) for predicting CAD events [3].
3.9 Precision medicine approach:
- Implementation of a multimarker strategy in a clinical trial showed a 25% reduction (95% CI: 18-32%) in cardiovascular events compared to standard care [2].
Subgroup analyses revealed that the predictive value of biomarkers varied by age and sex. For instance, NT-proBNP showed a stronger association with CAD events in women (HR 2.45, 95% CI: 2.00-3.01) compared to men (HR 1.89, 95% CI: 1.56-2.29).
The results of this systematic review highlight the significant progress made in biomarker research for CAD prevention over the past decade. The integration of novel biomarkers with traditional risk factors has improved risk prediction and stratification, paving the way for more personalized prevention strategies [1,2].
High-sensitivity cardiac troponins have emerged as powerful tools for early detection of myocardial injury and prediction of future cardiovascular events, even in asymptomatic individuals [5]. This underscores the potential for identifying subclinical disease and implementing targeted interventions before the onset of overt CAD.
Natriuretic peptides, particularly NT-proBNP, have demonstrated strong prognostic value in both primary and secondary prevention settings [6,30]. Their ability to reflect cardiac stress and remodeling provides valuable information beyond traditional risk factors.
Inflammatory markers, especially hs-CRP, continue to play a crucial role in refining cardiovascular risk assessment [14,15]. The ability of hs-CRP to reclassify individuals into different risk categories highlights its importance in guiding preventive therapies.
Novel lipid-related markers, such as ApoB and Lp(a), have shown incremental value over traditional lipid measures [7,8,16]. These markers provide a more comprehensive assessment of atherogenic potential and may help identify individuals at risk who might be missed by conventional lipid testing.
Imaging biomarkers, particularly the coronary artery calcium score, have demonstrated excellent predictive value for future cardiovascular events [4]. The non-invasive nature of these tests makes them attractive options for risk stratification in asymptomatic individuals.
The integration of multiple biomarkers, including traditional risk factors, novel biomarkers, and imaging biomarkers, has shown superior predictive performance compared to individual markers or traditional risk assessment alone [3]. This multimarker approach aligns with the concept of precision medicine, allowing for more accurate risk stratification and personalized prevention strategies.
The implementation of precision medicine approaches based on multimarker strategies has shown promising results in clinical trials, with significant reductions in cardiovascular events [2]. This highlights the potential for translating biomarker research into clinical practice to improve patient outcomes.
While the findings support the use of multi-marker approaches, implementation challenges remain. These include the need for standardized assays, clear cut-off values, and integration into existing risk prediction models. Moreover, the cost-effectiveness of these approaches needs to be evaluated in different healthcare settings
Future research should focus on:
The review findings suggest that clinicians should consider incorporating high-sensitivity troponins and NT-proBNP into CAD risk assessment, particularly for patients at intermediate risk based on traditional factors. However, the optimal frequency of testing and specific cut-off values for intervention require further study.
Strengths of this review include its comprehensive search strategy, rigorous quality assessment, and focus on clinically relevant outcomes. Limitations include the heterogeneity of included studies, potential for publication bias, and the rapid evolution of biomarker assays which may limit the applicability of older studies.
This systematic review and meta-analysis provide a comprehensive overview of the evolving role of biomarkers in CAD prevention over the past decade. The integration of novel biomarkers with traditional risk factors has significantly improved risk prediction and stratification, enabling more personalized prevention strategies.
These advancements in biomarker-based diagnostic research have paved the way for precision medicine approaches in cardiology, allowing for more targeted and effective prevention strategies. Challenges still remains in translating these findings into routine clinical practice, including standardization of assays, cost-effectiveness considerations, and the need for large-scale prospective studies to validate multimarker approaches.
Future research should focus on:
“ad summam”, the field of biomarkers in CAD prevention has made significant strides over the past decade, offering new opportunities for precision medicine in cardiology. The integration of novel biomarkers with traditional risk factors has enhanced our ability to identify high-risk individuals and tailor preventive strategies accordingly.
The key findings of this review highlight the importance of a multimarker approach in improving risk prediction and stratification. High-sensitivity cardiac troponins, natriuretic peptides, inflammatory markers, novel lipid-related markers, and imaging biomarkers have all demonstrated significant value in refining cardiovascular risk assessment beyond traditional risk factors [5,6,14,7,8,4].
The implementation of precision medicine approaches based on these biomarkers has shown promising results in clinical trials, with significant reductions in cardiovascular events [2]. This underscores the potential for translating biomarker research into clinical practice to improve patient outcomes.
Yet, it is crucial to consider that several challenges remain in fully realizing the potential of biomarkers in CAD prevention:
Future directions for research in this field should focus on:
In conclusion, the evolving understanding of biomarkers in CAD prevention over the past decade has opened new avenues for precision medicine in cardiology.
While significant progress has been made, continued research and clinical validation are necessary to fully harness the potential of biomarkers in improving cardiovascular health outcomes.
The integration of biomarker-guided strategies into clinical practice holds promise for more effective, personalized approaches to CAD prevention, ultimately leading to reduced morbidity and mortality from this prevalent and devastating disease.
Author: Borges JYV, conducted all aspects of the study, including Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Data curation, Writing - Original draft preparation, Visualization, Investigation, Supervision, Software, Validation, and Writing - Reviewing and Editing.
The entire manuscript was drafted independently. This study did not involve any human subjects or animal experiments. It is a systematic review and meta-analysis of previously published studies. Therefore, ethical approval or institutional review board approval was not required. The results/data/figures in this manuscript have not been published elsewhere, nor are they under consideration for publication in any other journal or source.
Accountability for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved is hereby accepted.
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